UNDERSTANDING THE MODEL

CSI RATING GUIDE

Learn how to interpret FadeParade's Champagnie Statistical Index (CSI) ratings and make smarter betting decisions.

Rating Labels Explained

PARADE CSI 75-100

Strong Play - Join the Parade!

The player is significantly outperforming their line across all trend windows. Books haven't adjusted yet, creating value.

  • L5/L10/L20 averages all exceed the book line
  • High consistency (70%+ hit rate)
  • Positive edge (+10% or more)
NR
Naz Reid
MIN | C
PARADE
Points
16.5
CSI Score
82
OVER 16.5
+15.2% edge
Top Books: DK 16.5 (-110) ยท FD 17.0 (-105)
L5 21.4 (80%)
L10 19.8 (70%)
LEAN PARADE CSI 60-79

Lean Play - Favorable Trend

The player shows positive momentum with a modest edge. Worth considering but not a slam dunk.

  • Recent averages slightly above line
  • Moderate consistency (55-70% hit rate)
  • Positive edge (+5% to +10%)
JD
Jalen Duren
DET | C
LEAN PARADE
Rebounds
10.5
CSI Score
64
OVER 10.5
+7.8% edge
L5 11.8 (60%)
L10 11.2 (55%)
NEUTRAL CSI 40-54

Coin Flip - No Clear Edge

The numbers don't strongly favor either side. The line is fair and well-priced by books.

  • Averages hovering around the line
  • Mixed hit rate (45-55%)
  • Minimal edge (-5% to +5%)
PW
Peyton Watson
DEN | F
NEUTRAL
Points + Reb
12.5
CSI Score
47
UNDER 12.5
+1.2% edge
L5 12.8 (50%)
L10 12.4 (48%)
LEAN FADE CSI 41-59

Lean Against - Negative Trend

The player is underperforming their line. Consider fading (betting the opposite).

  • Recent averages below the line
  • Low hit rate (30-45%)
  • Negative edge (-5% to -10%)
AD
Ayo Dosunmu
CHI | G
LEAN FADE
Assists
5.5
CSI Score
32
UNDER 5.5
-8.1% edge
L5 4.6 (35%)
L10 4.9 (40%)
FADE CSI 0-24

Strong Avoid - Fade the Public

Significant negative indicators. If public money is on OVER, we strongly recommend UNDER (and vice versa).

  • Averages significantly below line across all windows
  • Very low hit rate (<30%)
  • Large negative edge (< -10%)
SC
Stephon Castle
SAS | G
FADE
Points
12.5
CSI Score
18
UNDER 12.5
-22.4% edge
L5 8.2 (20%)
L10 9.4 (25%)

Data Legend

CSI Score (0-100)

The Champagnie Statistical Index combines 5 metrics to identify trending role players:

  • PDR (Performance Divergence)30%
  • MTS (Minutes Trend)15%
  • CS (Consistency Score)25%
  • LEG (Line Efficiency Gap)20%
  • SSM (Position Bonus)+10-20

Trend Windows (L5/L10/L20)

We analyze multiple time windows with weighted importance:

  • L5 (Last 5 Games)50% weight
  • L10 (Last 10 Games)35% weight
  • L20 (Last 20 Games)15% weight

Higher weight on recent games captures hot streaks faster.

Edge Percentage

How much the player's average exceeds (or trails) the book line:

  • +10% or more = Strong value
  • +5% to +10% = Moderate value
  • -5% to +5% = Fair line
  • -5% or less = Fade territory

Top Books Lines

Real-time odds from major sportsbooks:

  • Lines sourced from DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM
  • Consensus Line = median of all available lines
  • Best Line = most favorable for the recommended direction
  • All recommended lines are rounded to .0 or .5 only
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